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Документ Iterative methodology of bankruptcy forecast of logistic companies in emerging markets, taking into account global/regional crisis(2020) Hrashchenko, Iryna; Krasnyuk, Maxim; Krasniuk, SvitlanaTaking into account the globalized, regional, sectoral and pre-crisis specific of the above mentioned task of FA, it is relevant to critically analyze the main methods (and practice of their use) of financial analysis in order to to develop an complex iterative script methodology of FA for LC on emergent markets in pre-crisis or crisis conditions. Summarizing the comprehensive analysis of existing and used methods of FA for LC, and given the author's practical industry experience, it can be confidently stated that no existing algorithm of FA can not give an adequate forecast of the financial status of LC applicable at all stages of the LC life cycle and all phases of a possible crisis in emerging markets. In this article, the important and urgent task is solved: the development of a step-by-step iterative integrated methodology of financial analysis and forecasting the bankruptcy of a logistics company on emergent markets in pre-crisis and crisis conditions, applicable at all stages of the LC life cycle and all phases of a possible crisis.Документ Methodology of effective application of economic-mathematical modeling as the key component of the multi-crisis adaptive management (on the example of companies in the logistics industry)(2021) Krasnyuk, Maxim; Kulynych, Yurii; Tkalenko, Antonina; Krasniuk, SvitlanaThe two main groups of results will provide an adequate, systemic multi-modal response to a variety of crisis events and situations. The process of assembling and configuring the elements of the anti-crisis program / plan is inherently an open, heuristic, intellectual process of making managerial decisions and scenarios. The intellectual and professional abilities of the manager / specialist / auditor / controller performing this task play a significant role in the development and implementation of effective anti-crisis management plans and programs. This determines the importance of the personal factor and experience in preparing for decision-making in open problems, determines the requirements for the selection and organization of work in the ad-hoc mode of internal and external experts / auditors / controllers. However, a study of the management practice of logistics companies in emerging markets (especially in the context of the current global pandemic) showed a significant and negative potential impact of subjective factors on decisions of the management of logistics companies, their auditors, and controllers (cheating, corruption, raiding, inattention, industrial espionage, etc.). To limit the influence of the above subjective factors, the authors conducted research in the field of economic and mathematical modeling on two main tasks: “development of a methodology and model for the formation of a crisis plan for a logistics company in the context of a possible multi-level crisis” and “development of methodology and improvement of models for predicting the results of a possible implementation of an anti-crisis three-level adaptive program for a logistics company, taking into account the influence of the current multi-level crisis features and conditions”.